Madrid Open 2026 women's final: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk, a young duel with the Russian as favourite

Andreeva, currently number 8 in the WTA rankings, arrives at one of the best moments of her career. In the semi-finals, she beat Hailey Baptiste in two sets (6-4, 7-6), having previously eliminated players such as Leylah Fernandez in earlier rounds. The Russian, only 19 years old, will play her third WTA 1000 final, cementing her status as one of the circuit's great revelations.

Kostyuk, meanwhile, world number 23, has had a very solid tournament on clay. The Ukrainian reached the final after defeating Anastasia Potapova in the semi-finals (6-2, 1-6, 6-1), having also overcome opponents such as Linda Noskova along the way. She also arrives on a very positive run this season, particularly on clay.

As for the forecasts, bookmakers have Andreeva as the favourite. The odds give her a slight advantage, with around a 55–60% chance of victory, compared with 40–45% for Kostyuk. The gap is not wide, which points to an open and competitive final.

The match pits two styles and two rising careers against each other. Andreeva brings greater consistency in major tournaments, while Kostyuk arrives with momentum and confidence on clay. The title in Madrid will be decided in a setting that already suggests a changing of the guard in women's tennis.

Beyond the result, this final reflects a clear trend on the circuit: new generations that no longer merely compete, but are starting to dominate the biggest stages. In tournaments such as Madrid, that handover becomes visible and shapes the immediate future of world tennis.